研究目的
To address the inability of most existing methods to fully use the rich information in traf?c data for short-term traf?c ?ow prediction by presenting a novel approach based on dynamic tensor completion (DTC).
研究成果
The proposed Dynamic Tensor Completion (DTC) method effectively utilizes multi-mode periodicity, spatial information, and temporal variations of traf?c ?ow, demonstrating superior performance over conventional methods in both complete and incomplete data scenarios. The method's ability to accurately forecast traf?c ?ow without pre-processing missing data and its computational efficiency highlight its potential for practical ITS applications.
研究不足
The study acknowledges the challenge of accurately forecasting traf?c ?ow when it is sharply changed, indicating a limitation in handling abrupt traf?c variations. Additionally, the scalability of the method for large transportation networks and the handling of non-linear traf?c data are areas for future improvement.
1:Experimental Design and Method Selection:
The study employs a dynamic tensor completion (DTC) algorithm to forecast traf?c ?ow by representing traf?c data as a dynamic tensor pattern that captures temporal variabilities, spatial characteristics, and multimode periodicity.
2:Sample Selection and Data Sources:
Real-world traf?c data sets from the Performance Measurement System (PeMS) are used, specifically data collected from adjacent stations located at south bound freeway SR99, District 10, Stanislaus County, California.
3:List of Experimental Equipment and Materials:
The study utilizes MATLAB 2012b environment on a Windows Workstation with a Dual-Core Intel(R) Core(TM)
4:50 GHZ CPU and 4 GB RAM. Experimental Procedures and Operational Workflow:
The DTC method is applied to the traf?c data, comparing its performance with other state-of-the-art methods under both complete and incomplete data conditions.
5:Data Analysis Methods:
The performance is evaluated using mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and mean absolute error (MAE) as complementary measures.
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