研究目的
To assess the high-frequency variability of the capacity factors of solar photovoltaic energy facilities connected to the Australian National Electricity Market grid, focusing on the average capacity factor and its standard deviation.
研究成果
The study provides the first high-frequency (5 minutes sampling) statistic for solar photovoltaic energy facilities, highlighting the need for energy storage and sophisticated control of production, storage, and consumption for a renewable energy-only grid. The average capacity factors are about 27-28% for flat panel and 31-32% for tracking flat panel, with standard deviations of 37-38%. Daylight-only analysis shows doubled average capacity factors and slightly reduced standard deviations, leading to more than halved coefficients of variation.
研究不足
The study is limited by the availability of high-frequency data, with only a few solar energy facilities of decent size (>50 MW) with data over the full year in 2018. The sampling frequency, while high at 5 minutes, is suggested to be even higher (1 minute or less) for better grid balancing analysis.