研究目的
Estimating a photovoltaic generation forecasting model in scenarios where measurements of meteorological variables at the plant site are not available.
研究成果
The proposed algorithm demonstrates very good forecasting performance with limited computational burden, making it suitable for scenarios where the network operator has no access to on-site measurements of irradiance and temperature.
研究不足
The approach requires the tuning of a single threshold coefficient whose physical role is well defined. The method's performance is dependent on the quality of weather forecasts when actual measurements are not available.