研究目的
To develop a prediction model for photovoltaic systems using ANFIS technique to improve the accuracy and rapidness of prediction with minimal errors.
研究成果
The ANFIS technique effectively predicts photovoltaic system outputs with minimal errors, as evidenced by MAPE scores below 10%. This approach can serve as a reference for designing solar power systems tailored to household needs.
研究不足
The study focuses on short-term predictions for a 100 Wp photovoltaic system. The accuracy of predictions may vary with changes in weather conditions and system configurations.
1:Experimental Design and Method Selection:
The study employs ANFIS technique for modeling photovoltaic systems to predict output power, voltage, current, and temperature. The model is divided into two systems: System 1 (solar panel-regulator-battery) and System 2 (battery-inverter-load).
2:Sample Selection and Data Sources:
Input data include solar radiation and temperature for System 1, and battery voltage, current, temperature, and SOC for System
3:List of Experimental Equipment and Materials:
Photovoltaic module (SP-100-P36), Solar Charge Controller (SCC), battery, inverter, and load.
4:Experimental Procedures and Operational Workflow:
The study involves simulating the photovoltaic system using Matlab/Simulink, collecting data for ANFIS training and testing, and evaluating the system's performance using MAPE.
5:Data Analysis Methods:
MAPE is used to calculate the absolute error for each period to validate the prediction system.
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